Beshear says case numbers are likely stabilizing, but Kentuckians need to be diligent; positivity rate rises to 5.81%

The state announced 619 new cases on Wednesday, up from 590 the day before and 522 Monday, but nowhere near the second highest number of 836 reported Saturday.

Even though new cases of the coronavirus crept up Wednesday, and the percentage of Kentuckians testing positive in the last seven days was the highest it’s been in a while, Gov. Andy Beshear continues to be optimistic that the state’s numbers are stabilizing.

Beshear announced 619 new cases on Wednesday, up from 590 the day before and 522 Monday, but nowhere near the second highest number of 836 reported Saturday. The seven-day average of cases increased to 605, from 590. The governor also announced a positive test rate of 5.81%, the highest since testing became widespread. But he accentuated the positive.

“Right now, it looks like we are on track to be relatively stable as compared to last week’s numbers, and that’s a good thing,” Beshear said at his daily briefing.

Beshear noted that the number of new cases has increased the last three consecutive weeks: the week of July 6-12 brought 2,482; the week of July 13 had 3,772; and last week saw 3,918. He attributed that relative stabilization to his mask mandate, which took effect July 10.

“Right now, even with today’s number, we are on track to be right around what we have seen the last two weeks,” he said. “That is showing that our willingness to wear a facial covering is stabilizing our numbers or reducing the growth that we would be seeing right now.”

But he also warned, “We are nowhere near out of the woods and we are not going to be for at least a couple of weeks.”

He encouraged Kentuckians to “be diligent” about the things they have been asked to do to thwart the spread of the virus. Those include wearing a mask while in public, social distancing, keeping non-commercial social groups to 10 people or less, and not traveling to states with a 15% or more positive test rate, and if they do anyway, quarantining for 14 days when they get back.

To show what could happen, Beshear showed a graph of states’ one-week case rates, based on population, and pointed to Oklahoma. He noted that just a few weeks ago the Sooner State had just a few more cases than Kentucky, but once the virus started spreading there and wasn’t checked, the state’s case numbers escalated quickly.

“Our job right now, right now is to make sure that we don’t have that increase you see in that graph of Oklahoma, and certainly make sure that we don’t go that same way as Florida,” which was also highlighted on the graph and is the nation’s hotspot. “Right now is the moment where we either stop this increase, like you see in Oklahoma or in Florida, or we ultimately suffer the same fate.”

The governor showed one of the Foundation for a Healthy Kentucky ‘s video public service announcements in its “Wear it for Me” campaign, which will run through August and focus on the importance of wearing masks. The graphics and PSAs are available for download .

Beshear said 17 of Wednesday’s new cases were children under 5, the youngest four months old. “Remember, wear your mask for your kids too,” he said. “None of us want to ever have to live with the knowledge that we might have spread this to our children, even though it happens. Let’s just make sure that we are doing all of the steps to reduce that probability of it ever happening.”

On July 27, the state Supreme Court issued an order  saying eviction cases could be filed starting Saturday, Aug. 1, unless they are protected by the latest federal relief law, the CARES Act. Beshear has barred evictions during the pandemic, but three Northern Kentucky landlords have challenged the legality of that in a lawsuit, which is in mediation.

A blog post  by the Kentucky Equal Justice Center reported that Beshear is scheduled to mediate with the landlords Thursday at 9:30 a.m. in the federal courthouse in Covington. Housing advocates are asking Beshear to keep the moratorium in place, arguing that 220,000 households in the state and at least 1,500 renters in Lexington alone are at risk of being evicted, Beth Musgrave reports for the Lexington Herald-Leader.

In other COVID-19 news Wednesday:

Beshear reported that 571 Kentuckians are hospitalized with COVID-19 and 112 of them are in intensive care. Both figures were 2.2% less than Tuesday.

The state reported five more deaths from the coroanvirus: an 87-year-old woman from Clay County; an 82-year-old man from Graves County; a 77-year-old man from Jefferson County; a 58-year-old woman from Knott County; and a 71-year-old man from McCracken County.  The death toll is now 724.

Beshear announced that the death rate from the virus has decreased to 2.5%, from 3%.

The governor announced that 23 more residents and one more employee in the state’s long-term care facilities have tested positive for the virus. Three more deaths in these facilities have been attributed to COVID-19, bringing that total up to 477, including four staff deaths.

Counties with more than 10 new cases Wednesday were Jefferson, 231; Fayette, 45; Kenton, 37; Hopkins, 33; Boone, 24; Graves, Logan and Shelby, 22 each; Warren, 21; Adair, 19; Butler, 15; Jackson, 14; Campbell, 13; Edmonson, 12; Grayson, 11; and Oldham, 10.

(Kentucky Health News is an independent news service of the Institute for Rural Journalism and Community Issues, based in the School of Journalism and Media at the University of Kentucky, with support from the Foundation for a Healthy Kentucky.)

Melissa Patrick is a reporter for Kentucky Health News, an independent news service of the Institute for Rural Journalism and Community Issues, based in the School of Journalism and Media at the University of Kentucky, with support from the Foundation for a Healthy Kentucky. She has received several competitive fellowships, including the 2016-17 Nursing and Health Care Workforce Media Fellow of the Center for Health, Media & Policy, which allowed her to focus on and write about nursing workforce issues in Kentucky; and the year-long Association of Health Care Journalists 2017-18 Regional Health Journalism Program fellowship. She is a former registered nurse and holds degrees in journalism and community leadership and development from UK.